Champions League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36ccdebde3109d4e3dcea6c997c49f2b158b181f6faca1c311061ebab1075e6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 52c | 431.11$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 408.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.29 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 305.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 51c | 280.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 230.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 229.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 204.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…37dfbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 49c | 99.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 97.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 48c | 83.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 58.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 35.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 51c | 33.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: FK ML Viciebsk (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: FK ML Viciebsk O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 1.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.