Champions League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b7f5b395fcd122f0da00816f70a0792b017a5963421e107f74326ba057e9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 77c | 2,630$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.52 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 1,947$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.75 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 75c | 1,798$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.56 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 7c | 1,431$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 1,028$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.93 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 40c | 987.8$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.73 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 62c | 881.02$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Over | 43c | 840.35$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 25c | 666.68$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.54 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 486.44$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 15c | 321.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 30c | 295.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 12c | 187.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 54c | 182.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 46c | 169.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 159.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 146.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 34c | 74.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…d4b7backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 55c | 62.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 23c | 51.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 54c | 32.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: FK ML Viciebsk (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: FK ML Viciebsk O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 1.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.