Champions League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3427a0f2f242a85ae62747c36ccdcd9c3ddeec939eec0c0245f53f522c1253e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 72c | 7,197$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.11 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 7,105$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.51 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 27c | 3,730$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.55 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 22c | 3,482$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.39 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 57c | 2,961$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.26 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…c71fbacked Under | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 6c | 1,498$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…4114backed Under | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…0836backed Under | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…d719backed Under | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…5124backed Under | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 46c | 1,189$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.46 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 47c | 852$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 47c | 852$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.56 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +209.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 47c | 852$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.56 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 10c | 837.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 16c | 711.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 2c | 613.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Under | 21c | 571.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 26c | 515.18$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.23 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 35c | 370.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 16c | 369.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under | 16c | 197.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +250.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 27c | 185.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 12c | 183.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Under | 7c | 156.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…b74bbacked Under | 14c | 114$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 56c | 89.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…c8e9backed Over | 40c | 83.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 16c | 72.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3193…c305backed Under | 20c | 65.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 80c | 65.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 70c | 28.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: FK ML Viciebsk (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: FK ML Viciebsk O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 1.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.