Champions League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x137a3fd5cc67ab8366af81cb8e27c1a9d833a90cb23fc3b848c15efa2da1e4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 24c | 2,754$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.55 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,429$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.06 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 5c | 954$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 6c | 800.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 2c | 697$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 5c | 580.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 16c | 512$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 491.66$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.05 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 17c | 491.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.48 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 5c | 456.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 16c | 400$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 16c | 400$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 16c | 303.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.7 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Over | 75c | 268$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 197.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 15c | 193.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 15c | 179.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 166.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 33c | 162.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 61c | 158.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 15c | 124.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 17c | 121.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 57c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 32c | 88.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 30c | 50.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…61cebacked Over | 32c | 39.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 66c | 29.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 64c | 29.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 54c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 78c | 19.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FK ML Viciebsk (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: FK ML Viciebsk O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.