Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AC Virtus win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece64aff8326b67495388118b946d682e53dc664cc5522203470ffc41365ea45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,841$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.75 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 1,471$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.74 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…6ea0backed No | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d4…364fbacked No | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Yes | 24c | 900$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…b35cbacked No | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed No | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked No | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked No | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…d3e3backed No | 19c | 750$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb9…2ed5backed No | 19c | 749.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e07…ce0cbacked No | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 547.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.97 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 486.68$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 21c | 469.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 465.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.43 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 444.67$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.97 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 71c | 406$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 23c | 365.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.22 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 349$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 23c | 321.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 311.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.93 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 37c | 277.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 241$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Yes | 38c | 143.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 33c | 131$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 27c | 117.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 49c | 77.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 38c | 71.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 65.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 61.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 37c | 59.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 22c | 57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 23c | 44.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 69c | 42.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 40.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 50c | 37.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 32c | 36.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…e56dbacked No | 73c | 30.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 70c | 24.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 62c | 18.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Virtus win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Dila Gori win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.