Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Polina Kudermetova

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb8cb00b45c272640c9ced6f60998afbb03574d322d5659f9d7d81e1c282ee06

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Alina Korneevaof Alina Korneeva, Polina Kudermetova
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $96,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,816 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7eb6…8b20backed Polina Kudermetova	8c	10,671$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.82	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alina Korneeva	73c	8,027$5,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Polina Kudermetova	30c	8,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.99	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Polina Kudermetova	16c	6,197$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.69	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	5,705$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.75	392	43.4%170 W · 222 L	+21.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Alina Korneeva	65c	3,649$2,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280.25	2,375	51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L	+8.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Alina Korneeva	65c	3,238$2,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.16	3,605	42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L	-43.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Polina Kudermetova	15c	2,422$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.3	1,206	8%96 W · 1,110 L	+17.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Polina Kudermetova	35c	1,140$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Polina Kudermetova	35c	1,066$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.04	3,256	48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L	-53.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cc…b660backed Polina Kudermetova	8c	999.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	70	17.1%12 W · 58 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Polina Kudermetova	14c	723.51$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.86	937	40.6%380 W · 557 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3e0fbacked Polina Kudermetova	20c	623.98$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.77	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Polina Kudermetova	36c	550$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	77	28.6%22 W · 55 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Polina Kudermetova	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	242	31%75 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Alina Korneeva	65c	490$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.5	992	49.4%490 W · 502 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed Polina Kudermetova	17c	461.68$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.31	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-4.6wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Alina Korneeva	65c	461.54$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.54	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Polina Kudermetova	10c	320.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.23	225	44.4%100 W · 125 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	2,247	42.7%960 W · 1,287 L	+33.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	293.66$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.78	528	47%248 W · 280 L	-19.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	285.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	922	37.4%345 W · 577 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fb…946bbacked Alina Korneeva	66c	285.5$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.07	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Polina Kudermetova	18c	277.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	271	39.1%106 W · 165 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Alina Korneeva	74c	258.1$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.05	396	48%190 W · 206 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Alina Korneeva	65c	253.98$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.89	1,624	49.8%809 W · 815 L	-9.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Polina Kudermetova	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	366	61.7%226 W · 140 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	240$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	1,556	42.4%660 W · 896 L	+20.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Polina Kudermetova	15c	213.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.96	3,661	45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alina Korneeva	78c	201.84$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.64	8,505	42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L	-166.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4f…daa3backed Polina Kudermetova	11c	180.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	203	32.5%66 W · 137 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Polina Kudermetova	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	203	36.5%74 W · 129 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Polina Kudermetova	35c	164.77$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.67	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Polina Kudermetova	32c	157.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	464	40.5%188 W · 276 L	-36.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Polina Kudermetova	35c	147$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.45	726	38.8%282 W · 444 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Polina Kudermetova	16c	137.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	187	31%58 W · 129 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	135$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8e…5d6abacked Polina Kudermetova	34c	131.97$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.87	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-7.7wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Polina Kudermetova	10c	130$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	389	11.6%45 W · 344 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	114.09$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	935	57.3%536 W · 399 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Polina Kudermetova	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1,955	48%939 W · 1,016 L	+16.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6944…3902backed Polina Kudermetova	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Alina Korneeva	65c	97$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	429	46.4%199 W · 230 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…771abacked Polina Kudermetova	22c	91.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Polina Kudermetova	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	507	36.1%183 W · 324 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Alina Korneeva	65c	62.12$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.74	1,021	57.8%590 W · 431 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	57.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	2,485	35.9%893 W · 1,592 L	-28.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Polina Kudermetova	35c	51.02$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	306	48.4%148 W · 158 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	1,250	44.7%559 W · 691 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec17…0af9backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	42.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	128	39.1%50 W · 78 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b3…e104backed Polina Kudermetova	35c	42.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	118	37.3%44 W · 74 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Alina Korneeva	74c	40.37$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.37	1,025	54%554 W · 471 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Alina Korneeva	80c	35$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.1	527	39.3%207 W · 320 L	+37.6wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Alina Korneeva	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	550	59.1%325 W · 225 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Alina Korneeva	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	408	61.3%250 W · 158 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Polina Kudermetova	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	635	37.6%239 W · 396 L	+20.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Alina Korneeva	66c	24.65$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.41	2,274	58%1,318 W · 956 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Alina Korneeva	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	2,735	34%931 W · 1,804 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Alina Korneeva	65c	19.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	190	64.7%123 W · 67 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Polina Kudermetova

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market