TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x323e…1dda

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
726
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT63537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 635 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.55
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$55.79
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.2
National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Coco Gauffbacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.6
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.85
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$61.17
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.09
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+374.5%+$307.79
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.24
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$186.28
National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakinabacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.59
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+192.5%+$126.4
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,387Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$789.16
Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Plovdiv 2: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs George Lazarovbacked George Lazarov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.79
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basingbacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$107.1
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.59
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.09
Showing 25 of 635 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6134.4%21 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$93
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.25
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$104.85
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$199.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+320.2%+$381
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$415
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+184.4%+$862.83
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.67
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.24
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$35.58
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.19
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.66
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$164.16
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.56
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$59.23
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.3
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.99
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$10.64
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$96.18
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.34
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.9
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.84
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.75
Will Gable Steveson win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elisha Ellison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Kai Kamaka III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.62
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+111%+$28.93
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Cesar Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.15
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Zachary Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.78
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.9
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.