UFC · resolved market
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d74554c897b0dfbe7a30650ecdc5e03a032c66467158906c2b9c76362f3101a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 27c | 6,344$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.11 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 72c | 5,138$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.94 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 27c | 4,852$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.69 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Yes | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 6c | 2,433$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 25c | 959.25$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…ca0cbacked Yes | 71c | 630$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…f812backed No | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…7d14backed Yes | 76c | 394.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 27c | 337.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 23c | 333.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…7a99backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…653ebacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 66c | 249.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…979bbacked Yes | 77c | 202.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…b15cbacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 26c | 195$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…374dbacked No | 29c | 172.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…2d49backed No | 29c | 169.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 28c | 162.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…e2fbbacked No | 32c | 158.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 66c | 152.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…02a1backed No | 34c | 147.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…cb9cbacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…b8e8backed Yes | 77c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…fe19backed No | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 72c | 100.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed No | 26c | 96.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 71c | 85.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…280dbacked Yes | 72c | 82.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff33…0abdbacked Yes | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…257dbacked No | 34c | 79.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 42c | 79.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…d7c2backed No | 33c | 77.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb24…f4e1backed Yes | 78c | 70.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…454abacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…cab1backed Yes | 71c | 69.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…f523backed No | 29c | 68.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…8749backed Yes | 76c | 66.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Yes | 73c | 63.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699e…55bcbacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1f…f3c4backed No | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…11f2backed Yes | 76c | 52.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Yes | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…ca4abacked No | 28c | 48.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 69c | 46.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8197…bfabbacked No | 27c | 45.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 28c | 44.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Yes | 64c | 43.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf5…1dd3backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…020abacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fa…d857backed Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…92e0backed Yes | 74c | 39.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…a5eabacked Yes | 74c | 39.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Yes | 77c | 39.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbf…5115backed Yes | 73c | 36.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4251…568cbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…ab7dbacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…f8ebbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08d…7591backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…0189backed Yes | 72c | 27.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…9e8ebacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9174…f4c0backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…5e84backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…f8f9backed Yes | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…6454backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…21bdbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…5f94backed Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eca…8191backed Yes | 78c | 23.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d51…10babacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…14fbbacked Yes | 73c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…2466backed Yes | 74c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…7e02backed Yes | 77c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b1…acb7backed Yes | 74c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway won
- Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.