UFC · resolved market
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x775f42b26ed999f5043f89932f06e01226651601c69368930bf5cf31359e6952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 46c | 118,000$54,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,279.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Yes | 54c | 104,983$56,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,292.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 57c | 71,647$40,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,149.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 61,633$27,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,835.05 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 44c | 38,039$16,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,553.25 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…da86backed Yes | 54c | 20,370$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,370.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 45c | 13,607$6,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,183.92 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 55c | 12,574$6,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 55c | 11,089$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,990.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…3f48backed No | 45c | 10,376$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 45c | 10,010$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked No | 43c | 9,888$4,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,251.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0671…0bfebacked Yes | 54c | 9,150$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 45c | 7,345$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.84 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…ca0cbacked Yes | 54c | 5,746$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…79eabacked Yes | 54c | 5,025$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 45c | 4,313$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.06 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 47c | 2,569$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.92 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…ff93backed Yes | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 56c | 1,907$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a8…be5bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,907$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe8…2203backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…0b79backed Yes | 54c | 1,662$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 52c | 1,568$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.44 | 178 | 51.7%92 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 54c | 1,561$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…7a73backed Yes | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…dfb8backed Yes | 54c | 1,480$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Yes | 54c | 1,475$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…0131backed Yes | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.63 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Yes | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked No | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Yes | 55c | 1,100$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 45c | 1,074$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.3 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…23d6backed Yes | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…2f56backed Yes | 54c | 1,030$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…d8c2backed Yes | 54c | 999.33$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 44c | 999$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.56 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 55c | 998.68$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…da92backed Yes | 54c | 986.06$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Yes | 56c | 974.89$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Yes | 54c | 940.62$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.62 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 47c | 766.02$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 55c | 750.54$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed No | 45c | 648.97$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Yes | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 53c | 589.96$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 53c | 559.03$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…ba77backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…8e66backed No | 11c | 534$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…a51cbacked No | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Yes | 54c | 525.59$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.59 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 2c | 525.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Yes | 55c | 481.64$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…db7bbacked No | 45c | 470.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…65cdbacked No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 45c | 457.08$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…a277backed Yes | 55c | 454.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6423…e456backed Yes | 55c | 421.42$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…f0b0backed Yes | 55c | 407.95$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b872backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 45c | 383.84$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 46c | 379.9$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.91 | 385 | 53.2%205 W · 180 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…41fabacked No | 47c | 374.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae37…4888backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48b…136fbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…fb46backed No | 45c | 310.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…97babacked Yes | 54c | 307.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…23f6backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Yes | 53c | 278.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72f…c2a3backed Yes | 55c | 276.55$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…ff70backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…bfe7backed Yes | 54c | 270.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…5a43backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 58c | 235.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 49c | 234$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c4…d0d6backed Yes | 54c | 230.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Yes | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 46c | 225.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…2487backed Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…614dbacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…c924backed Yes | 55c | 211.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked No | 44c | 211.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 54c | 210$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed No | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed No | 45c | 208.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…271bbacked Yes | 54c | 205.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 51c | 200.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 54c | 199.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway won
- Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.