TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0936…fb00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.15
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$122.48
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$295.81
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$315.95
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$452.04
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.25
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+59%+$269.27
France to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$69.09
France vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$168.43
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$396.11
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+160%+$489.47
Spain to score first vs. France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.78
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.95
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$314.76
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$262.53
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$269.46
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$215.14
England to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$275.92
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$326.2
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$554.86
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.91
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Nakashimabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$170.2
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Darderibacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$12.93
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.65
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Rinderknechbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.65
Set 1 Winner: Nakashima vs Droguetbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.36
National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.45
Set Handicap: Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5)backed Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$34.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$130.44
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$117.23
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$129.37
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.46
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: LV (-1.5)backed HOU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.56
ARI vs. LV: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$62.61
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$65.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.06
Kai Havertz: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.13
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.