Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82fdf0316055aea7b67ea915b7c501a251294ef6d51cd32d416809ff1d447cbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof LOUD, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 1,822$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked paiN Gaming | 63c | 1,134$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.57 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked LOUD | 34c | 804.85$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.65 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked LOUD | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed LOUD | 37c | 637.83$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed LOUD | 37c | 610.81$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 493.11$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed LOUD | 38c | 486.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.41 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed LOUD | 37c | 474.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef9…3d08backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 461.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.87 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -15.5wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked LOUD | 36c | 322$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked paiN Gaming | 63c | 316.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed paiN Gaming | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed LOUD | 40c | 292.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed paiN Gaming | 60c | 212.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…a570backed LOUD | 37c | 185.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 130$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked LOUD | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LOUD | 37c | 96.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed LOUD | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed LOUD | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked paiN Gaming | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 50.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked paiN Gaming | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 43.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…7c09backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 38.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed LOUD | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed paiN Gaming | 62c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 282 | 60.6%171 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
- LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.