TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36a4…ad72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$129.9
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)backed ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$22.34
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$114.33
Counter-Strike: Acend vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.38
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Prestige (+1.5)backed Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$35.41
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)backed BORRACHEIROS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)backed Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$14.92
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)backed ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.82
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.41
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$28.43
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.3
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.46
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.45
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.19
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$200.18
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.56
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.75
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.83
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.55
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.99
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+197%+$393.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$117.05
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$101.35
Set 1 Winner: Aguilar vs Cilicbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$130.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.