Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d00f97419547cf107abe506c952b8e6888eeb482ca799b0047c9262dc9bdbce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 35,325$20,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,007.13 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised | 42c | 25,099$10,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,541.58 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Disguised | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Disguised | 43c | 2,746$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.84 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FlyQuest | 55c | 2,691$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.8 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Disguised | 45c | 1,862$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.92 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Disguised | 46c | 1,600$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Disguised | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.99 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed FlyQuest | 63c | 1,055$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.98 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 36c | 1,000$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.13 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FlyQuest | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed FlyQuest | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Disguised | 38c | 760.84$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed FlyQuest | 54c | 664.79$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.79 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed FlyQuest | 61c | 645.75$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…30c1backed FlyQuest | 59c | 553.19$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.81 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FlyQuest | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Disguised | 44c | 500.05$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Disguised | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Disguised | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Disguised | 44c | 405.07$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed FlyQuest | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed Disguised | 43c | 390.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Disguised | 44c | 366.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Disguised | 43c | 349$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Disguised | 42c | 320.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked FlyQuest | 67c | 320$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 855 | 54.7%468 W · 387 L | +33.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Disguised | 44c | 316.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed FlyQuest | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FlyQuest | 62c | 297.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed FlyQuest | 51c | 297.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Disguised | 44c | 271.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Disguised | 42c | 267.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FlyQuest | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed FlyQuest | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Disguised | 39c | 249.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Disguised | 39c | 248.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 199.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…a570backed Disguised | 44c | 195.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Disguised | 45c | 195.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed Disguised | 44c | 181.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed FlyQuest | 55c | 176.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 175.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed Disguised | 45c | 175.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked FlyQuest | 71c | 166.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed FlyQuest | 73c | 150.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Disguised | 48c | 148$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Disguised | 45c | 143.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Disguised | 27c | 123.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Disguised | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Disguised | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Disguised | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked FlyQuest | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Disguised | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Disguised | 31c | 99.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed FlyQuest | 69c | 99.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Disguised | 44c | 91.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Disguised | 44c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Disguised | 31c | 75.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed FlyQuest | 63c | 72.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…7c09backed FlyQuest | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…e38bbacked FlyQuest | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…ca3abacked FlyQuest | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Disguised | 35c | 51.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Disguised | 45c | 50.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed FlyQuest | 59c | 49.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed FlyQuest | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Disguised | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 234 | 58.5%137 W · 97 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Disguised | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed FlyQuest | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Disguised | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed FlyQuest | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Disguised | 48c | 30.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed FlyQuest | 65c | 30.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed Disguised | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed FlyQuest | 61c | 29.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 444 | 61.7%274 W · 170 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Disguised | 42c | 27.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…c20bbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Disguised | 37c | 26.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Disguised | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked FlyQuest | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed FlyQuest | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed FlyQuest | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed FlyQuest | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked FlyQuest | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.