Lol · resolved market
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc279b3e9dea7b3f87b16713103eda46343be0ef3b4c30546b7e40d7730e271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 30,664$22,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,029.17 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Disguised | 20c | 16,608$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.83 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Disguised | 26c | 12,935$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.1 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…5d00backed Disguised | 26c | 7,281$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Disguised | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Disguised | 12c | 6,867$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.08 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Disguised | 27c | 5,615$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed FlyQuest | 75c | 5,314$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.23 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Disguised | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 13c | 4,717$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.78 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Disguised | 25c | 3,998$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.58 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Disguised | 76c | 3,000$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.98 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8c…c7b5backed FlyQuest | 74c | 2,841$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Disguised | 14c | 2,831$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.22 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Disguised | 26c | 2,692$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Disguised | 26c | 2,561$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.95 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed FlyQuest | 79c | 2,288$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Disguised | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed Disguised | 10c | 1,903$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed FlyQuest | 75c | 1,865$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.32 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Disguised | 58c | 1,862$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.42 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Disguised | 19c | 1,581$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed FlyQuest | 79c | 1,523$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.68 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Disguised | 68c | 1,460$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…04d6backed Disguised | 10c | 1,300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Disguised | 16c | 1,230$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked FlyQuest | 77c | 1,191$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.91 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed FlyQuest | 74c | 1,184$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.88 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 26c | 1,176$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.47 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked FlyQuest | 35c | 1,154$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.87 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…ead4backed Disguised | 26c | 1,136$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed FlyQuest | 73c | 1,100$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.83 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 1,100$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 1,092$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.12 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Disguised | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FlyQuest | 80c | 1,000$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.22 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Disguised | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed FlyQuest | 50c | 999.95$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.97 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FlyQuest | 28c | 934.93$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.88 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Disguised | 30c | 921.17$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FlyQuest | 54c | 906.36$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.45 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Disguised | 27c | 839.3$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Disguised | 77c | 798.46$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.81 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 780.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Disguised | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Disguised | 49c | 728.33$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.33 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…5b95backed FlyQuest | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 687$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Disguised | 67c | 680.88$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.19 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Disguised | 67c | 680$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.6 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked FlyQuest | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Disguised | 18c | 657.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FlyQuest | 44c | 633.64$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.63 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed FlyQuest | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 571.01$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 70c | 551.95$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.47 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Disguised | 15c | 547.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Disguised | 74c | 541.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Disguised | 40c | 527.44$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Disguised | 49c | 526.47$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.58 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Disguised | 26c | 500.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed FlyQuest | 75c | 500$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked FlyQuest | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Disguised | 10c | 498.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe466…6938backed FlyQuest | 74c | 452.7$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Disguised | 11c | 434.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Disguised | 18c | 418.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Disguised | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Disguised | 25c | 394$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ba0backed Disguised | 9c | 389.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Disguised | 26c | 375$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked FlyQuest | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed Disguised | 26c | 373.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…be9bbacked Disguised | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed FlyQuest | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Disguised | 17c | 345.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Disguised | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Disguised | 38c | 321.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 320.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Disguised | 17c | 313.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595e…184cbacked Disguised | 8c | 312.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e62…e1e5backed Disguised | 12c | 279.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…00d0backed Disguised | 17c | 275.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed FlyQuest | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed FlyQuest | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Disguised | 26c | 266.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Disguised | 9c | 253.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Disguised | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed FlyQuest | 35c | 239.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.86 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…300bbacked Disguised | 11c | 233.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FlyQuest | 41c | 233.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Disguised | 26c | 226.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed FlyQuest | 78c | 220$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Disguised | 51c | 219.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 196 | 37.8%74 W · 122 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Disguised | 15c | 216.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.