Lol · resolved market
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6494c7727f1fed092c835b6eba36bfcb993f2ef3f151baa8ffae463dbf9ce0b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Disguised | 19c | 10,407$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Disguised | 28c | 7,777$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.43 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…5d00backed Disguised | 15c | 7,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Disguised | 15c | 6,716$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.24 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 6,685$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.76 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 6,452$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.95 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed Disguised | 9c | 5,687$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.85 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 26c | 5,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.99 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Disguised | 24c | 4,602$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.46 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Disguised | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Disguised | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked FlyQuest | 75c | 2,833$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.33 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed FlyQuest | 78c | 2,305$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.95 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised | 22c | 2,125$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.5 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Disguised | 27c | 2,050$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.49 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed FlyQuest | 76c | 1,634$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.48 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Disguised | 26c | 1,521$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…5b95backed FlyQuest | 74c | 1,283$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed FlyQuest | 73c | 1,233$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 19c | 1,145$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.89 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Disguised | 25c | 968.45$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.79 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked FlyQuest | 76c | 959.79$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed FlyQuest | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 818.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed FlyQuest | 74c | 761.47$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 750$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 730.27$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 716.49$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FlyQuest | 74c | 701.66$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 680.32$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed FlyQuest | 74c | 637.69$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Disguised | 27c | 609.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Disguised | 3c | 570.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Disguised | 28c | 548$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Disguised | 31c | 521.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 468 | 46.8%219 W · 249 L | -23.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Disguised | 11c | 495$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 475$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Disguised | 28c | 414$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Disguised | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Disguised | 28c | 371.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Disguised | 28c | 358.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Disguised | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 356$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FlyQuest | 75c | 351.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Disguised | 27c | 345.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Disguised | 6c | 333.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Disguised | 22c | 320$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed FlyQuest | 73c | 319.05$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Disguised | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 296 | 37.8%112 W · 184 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 293.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed FlyQuest | 77c | 292.27$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Disguised | 27c | 280.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Disguised | 18c | 264.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 249.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Disguised | 27c | 213.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Disguised | 9c | 208.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Disguised | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FlyQuest | 72c | 208$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed FlyQuest | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 263 | 71.9%189 W · 74 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Disguised | 28c | 179.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Disguised | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Disguised | 24c | 171.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FlyQuest | 73c | 145$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Disguised | 30c | 139.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 138.48$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FlyQuest | 75c | 126.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed FlyQuest | 69c | 111$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FlyQuest | 72c | 106.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c969backed Disguised | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Disguised | 12c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed FlyQuest | 73c | 93.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Disguised | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Disguised | 23c | 85.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…06d8backed Disguised | 24c | 82.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Disguised | 18c | 74.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Disguised | 24c | 73.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Disguised | 18c | 68.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 67.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FlyQuest | 77c | 65.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FlyQuest | 72c | 62.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f2ecbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…c423backed FlyQuest | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Disguised | 25c | 48.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed FlyQuest | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Disguised | 26c | 43.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Disguised | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed FlyQuest | 73c | 35.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 414 | 69.3%287 W · 127 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FlyQuest | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked FlyQuest | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked FlyQuest | 73c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…f579backed FlyQuest | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…4804backed FlyQuest | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…a347backed FlyQuest | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.