TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ff2…c175

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
506
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT40726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 407 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.54
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$273.33
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.67
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$263.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$819.99
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$383.32
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$965.55
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.78
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.89
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.44
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.44
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.89
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$213.33
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$223.33
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.67
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+199.3%+$591.83
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.78
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.44
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.81
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.22
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$420.63
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.55
Showing 25 of 407 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7617.1%13 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.97
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.71
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.61
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.13
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+228.6%+$1,159.13
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.08
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,410.99
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Spread: Australia (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
DR Congo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$722.61
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.84
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.56
Spread: England (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$761.95
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.44
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$539.46
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-07-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.28
Spread: Halmstads BK (-1.5)backed Halmstads BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)backed Halmstads BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.11
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.58
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.36
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.5
Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5)backed Malmo FF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+95%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.