TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GAM Esportsof Team Secret Whales, GAM Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x141a…d05abacked GAM Esports38c3,938$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.0821968%149 W · 70 L+28.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed GAM Esports35c2,279$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.281,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Secret Whales60c2,041$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.371,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Secret Whales1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Secret Whales64c1,425$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.1687844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked GAM Esports54c1,414$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.8815446.8%72 W · 82 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Team Secret Whales62c1,345$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.624137.8%91 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed GAM Esports31c1,283$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.7777746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Team Secret Whales64c1,275$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.7944846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed GAM Esports39c1,270$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9521458.9%126 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Secret Whales58c1,209$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.581,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Secret Whales40c1,109$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.111,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked GAM Esports50c1,015$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5366559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x35b7…fbcfbacked GAM Esports11c1,000$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89027367%183 W · 90 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Secret Whales47c860$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.562,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1312…39cebacked GAM Esports24c803.5$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.2912853.1%68 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f47…d0a3backed Team Secret Whales5c793.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.66923.3%3 W · 89 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Secret Whales3c745.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.061,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Team Secret Whales65c717.51$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.1217835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Secret Whales62c689$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.541,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed GAM Esports7c650$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.555110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Team Secret Whales68c589.87$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.2466059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Team Secret Whales79c578$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.0963742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Team Secret Whales75c559.32$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42225660.5%155 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf52b…d547backed Team Secret Whales49c550.87$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27019054.2%103 W · 87 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed GAM Esports35c539.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.3996452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Secret Whales61c491.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.152,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked GAM Esports46c439.77$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.41,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked GAM Esports29c438.94$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9456744.8%254 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Secret Whales76c410.75$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.351,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Secret Whales52c379.35$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.881,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed GAM Esports33c333.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3340726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Secret Whales68c320.85$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.461,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked GAM Esports32c315.62$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.629341.9%39 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Secret Whales71c315.09$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.642,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed GAM Esports50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15516146%74 W · 87 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Team Secret Whales77c305.01$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8635058.6%205 W · 145 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed GAM Esports34c279$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.141,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GAM Esports23c250$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.52,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Team Secret Whales72c249.22$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6421940.6%89 W · 130 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed GAM Esports7c221.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9111535.7%41 W · 74 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Secret Whales64c219.93$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.891,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x998f…9eb5backed GAM Esports7c200$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a5a…0088backed Team Secret Whales50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049361.5%303 W · 190 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Team Secret Whales74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14817632.4%57 W · 119 L-15.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked GAM Esports32c199.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13695847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Team Secret Whales69c199.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9928353%150 W · 133 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Secret Whales68c198.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.991,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f1…401ebacked Team Secret Whales54c185.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035943.7%157 W · 202 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Secret Whales56c183.03$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Secret Whales75c161.97$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.141,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed GAM Esports47c160.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0542055%231 W · 189 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Secret Whales67c154.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7445338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked GAM Esports32c154.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.981,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed GAM Esports34c153$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.448259.8%49 W · 33 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Team Secret Whales77c149$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.733857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed GAM Esports12c147$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.365352.8%28 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52dd…005dbacked GAM Esports35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8612251.6%63 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e0…645bbacked Team Secret Whales68c141.19$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0113459.7%80 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Team Secret Whales65c141.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6531953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8e…985dbacked GAM Esports36c135.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.238155.6%45 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…1e72backed GAM Esports37c135.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1334141.6%142 W · 199 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed GAM Esports30c132.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4148438%184 W · 300 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83cf…8a6ebacked GAM Esports8c130$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.61421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+121.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Team Secret Whales25c128.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2358042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Team Secret Whales77c126$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.023847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Team Secret Whales77c125$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.254057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed GAM Esports13c123$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.019145.1%41 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Secret Whales76c114$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.721,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed GAM Esports11c113.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1310930.3%33 W · 76 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed GAM Esports11c113.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1316130.4%49 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Team Secret Whales77c111$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.474261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked GAM Esports13c110.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4613014.6%19 W · 111 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Team Secret Whales72c107.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7718165.7%119 W · 62 L+23.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Team Secret Whales42c105$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5163426%165 W · 469 L-90.0wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked GAM Esports21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7929331.4%92 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Secret Whales73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7320842.3%88 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Team Secret Whales73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7316242%68 W · 94 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8838…b9febacked Team Secret Whales50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed GAM Esports53c98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.411,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Team Secret Whales71c84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6434255.6%190 W · 152 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Team Secret Whales77c84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.683056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x292d…25b5backed Team Secret Whales74c84$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.162548%12 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf1…2960backed Team Secret Whales18c81.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516444.5%73 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Team Secret Whales25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922838.6%88 W · 140 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf8…1dcebacked GAM Esports25c74.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6212832.8%42 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GAM Esports15c70$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.569644.4%309 W · 387 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Team Secret Whales73c69.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.981,05539.6%418 W · 637 L-74.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Team Secret Whales72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019838.9%77 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e78…fb29backed GAM Esports45c66.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4715559.4%92 W · 63 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea7e…2c67backed GAM Esports45c65.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3945051.6%232 W · 218 L+24.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked GAM Esports35c62.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9411851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36de…cf07backed Team Secret Whales80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015359.5%91 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Team Secret Whales68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020957.4%120 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Secret Whales76c58.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.341,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae33…f57fbacked GAM Esports34c58.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0116163.4%102 W · 59 L+13.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Secret Whales39c58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.643,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked GAM Esports52c52.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4758043.3%251 W · 329 L-47.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Secret Whales79c52.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050c…bf27backed GAM Esports36c52.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3217850%89 W · 89 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.