Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1fd9cff1770089d8174a01203766a460e1ed072d88aa59b02867dd21c1f1987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Over | 63c | 1,115$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.46 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 37c | 750$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 36c | 379.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 62c | 367.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Under | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 62c | 293.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 65c | 289.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…561dbacked Under | 41c | 61.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 36c | 59.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -14.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 59c | 56.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 34c | 39.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerGAM Esports won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.