TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb06c…561d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst Mls at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.75
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.2
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$44.8
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+79%+$15.8
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.2
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Málaga CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed AC Monza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.