South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcc829d85370672ab4de758aacdf034b36f03e08fc85672d7be10fd731db835f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.98 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 6,307$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.06 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 6,279$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.09 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 6,213$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 3,306$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.99 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 53c | 2,751$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 68c | 2,063$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.21 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 1,567$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.72 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,520$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 29c | 655.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 634.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 429.52$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 68c | 350.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 209.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 28c | 199.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 62c | 197.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Under | 75c | 192.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 180.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 31c | 169.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 160.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 62c | 156$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 68c | 145.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 15c | 125.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 122.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 33c | 99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 68c | 98.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 27c | 95.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 86.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 32c | 84.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 59c | 80.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 33c | 77.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 77.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 69c | 74.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 39c | 70.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 38c | 52.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…561dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 63c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Under | 65c | 28.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…5e45backed Over | 53c | 27.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 26.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 51c | 26.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…3c91backed Over | 51c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 56c | 21.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 56c | 18.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 68c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.