TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c8,193$4,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,424.3317146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over55c7,196$3,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over73c6,807$4,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,969.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c5,436$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.822,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c5,143$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.798,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b6…041bbacked Under47c4,143$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c3,901$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.441,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under45c3,868$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.557556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under33c2,747$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.932352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c2,665$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.995,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under49c1,944$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.242864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Over50c1,617$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.276526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over59c1,369$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8091346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c1,295$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.841,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under46c1,104$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.115042%21 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.414944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d93…533fbacked Over47c850.69$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over61c732.7$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.831,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under46c578.24$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2511143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Over68c494.25$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c450.82$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.42,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over47c385.89$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7621538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over57c372$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Over57c370$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.96762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189c…c9aebacked Over23c345.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Over60c275.08$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c245.15$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4925635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under39c210.26$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2612850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over29c195.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over55c182.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.192962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over68c149$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Under55c145.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.731070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under49c145.08$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over52c143.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over55c130.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over49c112.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under37c112.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1760156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb696…7a4ebacked Under26c110$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.12060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over79c109.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.391,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf69e…75d7backed Under46c108.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under36c102.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under43c97.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9519349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c95.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.643,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over48c92.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under73c92.05$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0840451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under35c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1172058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over55c89.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.391560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under48c86.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0613856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c7…808fbacked Over78c84.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.252268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over71c81.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5819447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under36c81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Under44c76.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.962152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under49c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.518446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8379…3c91backed Over61c67.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over28c62.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d12ebacked Over63c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.551650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over26c50.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.094953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7119053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e40…56c1backed Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over54c48.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.414264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Over55c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over59c43.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8363061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…561dbacked Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over69c39.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.389846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over58c39.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under44c39.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8431136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under45c39.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6316050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under75c38.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4421752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Over49c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.963542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c34.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under46c34.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6316449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under78c31.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7782434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e6b…172abacked Over55c29.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Under55c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c26.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6872350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under68c26.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3832139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under49c25.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9715057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2419150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Under55c21.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bf…f43dbacked Over70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+240.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over68c20.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9433658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2481…878dbacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.689645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…9fd7backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.