South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d65014a88e7712dfb425198c4a089d1d9650a6b10ce99192a711e130df1d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlas FCof CF Cruz Azul, Atlas FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked CF Cruz Azul | 37c | 41,143$15,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,209.08 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlas FC | 63c | 13,164$8,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.91 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Atlas FC | 63c | 11,665$7,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.05 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlas FC | 64c | 8,221$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlas FC | 63c | 2,240$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.72 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlas FC | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlas FC | 63c | 1,175$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.13 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CF Cruz Azul | 32c | 985.52$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.79 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Atlas FC | 63c | 583.25$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Atlas FC | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CF Cruz Azul | 31c | 413.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked CF Cruz Azul | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed Atlas FC | 68c | 385.5$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked CF Cruz Azul | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Atlas FC | 63c | 290.94$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlas FC | 66c | 282.53$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Atlas FC | 64c | 254.89$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlas FC | 63c | 251.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed CF Cruz Azul | 36c | 244.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Atlas FC | 63c | 233.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Atlas FC | 63c | 233$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed CF Cruz Azul | 11c | 196.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Atlas FC | 63c | 181$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Atlas FC | 64c | 154.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Atlas FC | 63c | 149$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlas FC | 63c | 138$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Atlas FC | 63c | 109.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Atlas FC | 63c | 93.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Atlas FC | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Atlas FC | 64c | 84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Atlas FC | 63c | 79.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked CF Cruz Azul | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Atlas FC | 63c | 78.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Atlas FC | 63c | 78.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Atlas FC | 63c | 78.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Atlas FC | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Atlas FC | 63c | 56.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atlas FC | 63c | 55.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed CF Cruz Azul | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Atlas FC | 63c | 51.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Atlas FC | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked CF Cruz Azul | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Atlas FC | 64c | 35.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Atlas FC | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Atlas FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Atlas FC | 63c | 23.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Atlas FC | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf39…7032backed Atlas FC | 63c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…03c4backed Atlas FC | 63c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Atlas FC | 63c | 20.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Atlas FC | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Atlas FC | 64c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.