TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf39…7032

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cancun: Alexandre Muller vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.83
Sion: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Juan Estevezbacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
Roehampton: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Peter Makkbacked Peter Makk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Faticbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$25.07
Sion: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moellerbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.97
Roehampton: Matteo Martineau vs Lui Maxtedbacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.23
Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$12.08
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Carlos Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$17.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.6
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.32
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.73
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.84
Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.25
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.63
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$22.07
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.49
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.99
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.3
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Coventry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Spread: Bolton Wanderers FC (-2.5)backed Preston North End FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.