TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,537 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99f0…9495backed Over11c21,061$2,317 inLost-$2,316.6917339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over10c20,386$1,970 inLost-$1,970.16,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over2c9,391$160 inLost-$159.951,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c4,477$493 inLost-$492.571,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Over13c4,193$545 inLost-$545.05520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-62.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over11c3,006$328 inLost-$327.8248950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over7c2,997$202 inLost-$202.0472142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c2,697$198 inLost-$198.444,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over13c2,387$310 inLost-$310.252326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over11c2,310$254 inLost-$254.0813633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over4c2,004$86 inLost-$86.0760%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over21c1,599$340 inLost-$34030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over11c1,274$140 inLost-$140.1259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over10c1,129$113 inLost-$112.9146651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over11c1,024$113 inLost-$112.645750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over11c390$43 inLost-$42.99735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6739…54b0backed Under80c346.3$277 inWon+$69.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over12c325.34$39 inLost-$39.0423243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Over22c272.73$60 inLost-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Over12c250$30 inLost-$3037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Over13c250$33 inLost-$32.5714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc88…25dabacked Over13c138.46$18 inLost-$182114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…481bbacked Under80c137.5$110 inWon+$27.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over10c137.25$14 inLost-$13.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over12c113.88$13 inLost-$13.3254340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92dc…eb9dbacked Over12c110$13 inLost-$13.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over12c105.98$13 inLost-$12.7211217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over11c100$11 inLost-$1120958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf39…7032backed Over11c91.64$10 inLost-$10.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.