TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Liverpool FCof Newcastle United FC, Liverpool FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,843 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Newcastle United FC19c6,603$1,255 inLost-$1,254.734,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Newcastle United FC18c4,762$864 inLost-$8641,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Newcastle United FC14c4,234$590 inLost-$589.951,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Newcastle United FC16c2,988$491 inLost-$491.156,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Newcastle United FC18c1,471$262 inLost-$261.941,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Newcastle United FC10c1,000$100 inLost-$1006225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x965f…c5b7backed Newcastle United FC19c526.32$100 inLost-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Newcastle United FC20c500$100 inLost-$10029024.8%72 W · 218 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Newcastle United FC10c220$22 inLost-$227635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Newcastle United FC19c210.53$40 inLost-$401952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+55.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Newcastle United FC17c164.71$28 inLost-$285330.2%16 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Newcastle United FC11c121.18$13 inLost-$13.334827.1%13 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-26.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked Newcastle United FC19c100.81$20 inLost-$19.611729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Newcastle United FC19c100$19 inLost-$19966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Newcastle United FC18c83.33$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.