Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d74276944d812a091490736129130183dcc0766ff19d0467238b502039f3109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 10,912$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.06 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 5,867$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 5,157$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.87 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…b845backed Over | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,659$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.12 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 2,429$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.74 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 1,420$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.85 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…d292backed Over | 59c | 1,146$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Under | 57c | 728.07$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 43c | 700.2$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.09 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 692$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 69c | 594.2$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 56c | 576.64$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…3979backed Under | 54c | 515.98$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 57c | 469.55$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…87efbacked Over | 64c | 447.18$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 45c | 369.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 55c | 364.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 58c | 235.29$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 50c | 195.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…0ecebacked Over | 50c | 165.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 42c | 153$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…18c3backed Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 42c | 104.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 38c | 96.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…af6bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 58c | 92.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 27c | 90.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Under | 55c | 90.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 43c | 87.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 44c | 75.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 70.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 69.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5a6dbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 21c | 52.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…d312backed Over | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 49c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 47.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 46c | 44.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…1471backed Under | 55c | 36.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 39c | 36.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…e58dbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadf…40adbacked Over | 76c | 26.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…6991backed Over | 80c | 23.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.