TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,939 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04cf…9f77backed Over77c509.96$393 inWon+$117.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…f2b5backed Under23c381.57$88 inLost-$87.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c316.88$67 inLost-$66.541,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over79c247$195 inWon+$51.8713742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over78c116.45$91 inWon+$25.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under22c101.74$22 inLost-$22.385750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Under20c72.69$15 inLost-$14.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon+$13.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick72cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c52.94$12 inLost-$12.176,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Over80c37.5$30 inWon+$7.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick78cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over78c31$24 inWon+$6.824847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed Over80c27.5$22 inWon+$5.5771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over78c25$20 inWon+$5.514349.7%71 W · 72 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.