TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under26c28,698$7,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,353.752035%7 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c9,963$6,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.384,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under34c8,433$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.162441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under2c5,847$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c4,776$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.9554340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…957ebacked Over66c3,259$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under35c2,901$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.3515547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under35c2,806$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.5288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over65c2,372$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.2923243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under34c2,302$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.129735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.732045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under23c2,224$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.422528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over71c2,188$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.0648950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over65c2,059$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.261,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c2,029$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.5455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under4c1,944$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over64c1,518$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Under41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over77c1,225$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.311,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over65c873.28$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.652,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c663$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9420059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Under37c614.81$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over65c527.68$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.691963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over68c524$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.162326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over73c503.26$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.481,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011954.6%65 W · 54 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa850…f1babacked Under35c491.53$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Under37c473.13$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.061275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85a4…4912backed Under31c440.67$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under21c428$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8872142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over66c414.52$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.944862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c414.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.086,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over63c403.27$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.215160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Over60c341.45$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.588229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under35c312.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.462572%18 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under16c301.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.335349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under11c279.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.747844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under7c247.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.234035%14 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Under42c245$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under41c241.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0610847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over77c206.19$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4231849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over66c203.45$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.171457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over69c203.44$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.023452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over66c203.44$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.171353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over74c184.13$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6873258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over79c174.31$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6112045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Over58c170.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59bb…ddfcbacked Over60c162.57$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f0…0171backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over66c151.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.514027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5117544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8f…aebfbacked Under35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f4c…9f7dbacked Under35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+201.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa114…22c6backed Over64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Under41c133.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Over66c118.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.525259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under36c118.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9713633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1114551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Under23c110.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Under24c110.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Over64c107.23$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Over50c103.38$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.692445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1429…1cd8backed Over64c101.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4355654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under28c95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.087143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over77c93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3911049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38eb…5a6dbacked Over62c80.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.32161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb18…6f32backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under25c68.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.052147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f0…18c3backed Over59c68.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.041233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Under23c67.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc60f…70f7backed Over66c66.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under32c65.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.339358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under38c65.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.112250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.526269.4%43 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under35c60.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.341145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under32c60.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.189660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0270…96dbbacked Under35c58.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…6e97backed Under35c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…eb5cbacked Over66c51.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.522556%14 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under35c51.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.511844.9%53 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ed…a514backed Over60c48.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1940…45b2backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.