TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over25c28,484$7,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,121.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under75c25,997$19,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.375552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under76c20,430$15,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,979.288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c15,655$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.084,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c12,975$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.436,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over4c12,855$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402580%20 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over3c5,717$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over29c3,874$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.311936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over16c3,344$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.6572142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Under78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Over40c1,700$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over5c1,466$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1760%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over22c1,424$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3555751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c1,047$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4348950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c733.74$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9557833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57de…20cbbacked Under62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.162766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Under62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.166056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over12c597.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under74c582$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.657844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over22c553.83$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.849735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over28c517.86$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.576160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c417.4$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0714144%62 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over41c399.98$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9918123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under75c383.97$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4211049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over43c360$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.365349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over41c327.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1348236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under78c306.44$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3212045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over24c275.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.811217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over23c224.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.142937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over6c211$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6621250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under77c186.95$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5413633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over22c184.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.529358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over14c179.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.695937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.82454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over23c158.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9514253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over31c156.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.973258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c156.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0254340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over23c143.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.911,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under65c138.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.695139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Under75c138.33$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.882941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over27c136.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.59660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under79c115.18$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.857143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over24c114.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over24c114.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.441353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over25c89.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.528247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over28c88.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.741,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Over27c86.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.441526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under61c80.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.31968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.240821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.922152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Under77c77.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.428743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x38eb…5a6dbacked Over41c65.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.972161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf756…3a81backed Under77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over25c63.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c60.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Over38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4793…a932backed Under76c49.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over37c48.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9229643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed Over30c45.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over25c41.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.365058%29 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0bf…d7febacked Over32c41.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98100%8 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Under61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under75c39.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9717339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over34c37.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1328456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f1…953cbacked Under67c34.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Under76c32.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6c…43efbacked Under76c28.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77df…de44backed Under79c28.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over38c27.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.494751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f03…f7f8backed Under78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.520956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.596764.2%43 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Under72c23.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.623100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under61c23.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.