TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under56c32,230$18,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,048.892441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c22,299$9,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,448.721,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c20,007$8,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,228.0976842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Over43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.981050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Under57c16,579$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4501593.3%14 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.35per pick59cpaid+59.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over67c14,925$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.378153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c10,815$4,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0474,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under57c9,908$5,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,670.2215547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over25c9,843$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,344.073452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under25c9,643$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.372035%7 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over46c7,224$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,872.9988635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under72c6,132$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.881957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under57c4,500$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under49c4,328$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.3111753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over51c3,770$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c3,686$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.896,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over30c3,641$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.311457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over43c3,424$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over38c2,840$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.044158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under57c2,807$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9812949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over40c2,537$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.5612045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over44c2,514$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.2223243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under58c2,484$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.912347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Under56c2,404$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over43c2,377$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.8617339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c2,340$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.4755751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed Over43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c2,259$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.257833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over38c2,250$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.2511049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c6…4727backed Over44c2,207$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under34c2,157$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.827436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under25c2,009$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14069851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14080953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…81d2backed Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af5…451fbacked Under70c1,669$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over42c1,667$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.8623258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c1,636$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.3954340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Under67c1,490$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.963652.8%19 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+269.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e24…dbd6backed Over44c1,487$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7913834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under57c1,233$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.925160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Over33c1,212$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.12812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under42c1,201$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under59c1,191$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.111844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over25c1,164$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87320059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under26c1,140$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.69425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3610739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c1,088$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.771,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over41c1,059$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.041963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under55c1,048$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over43c1,000$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5756225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5705757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under20c997.34$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+120.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over69c869.77$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.081936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over28c828.57$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.573250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d292backed Over61c820$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under55c818.36$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under58c758.47$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.66852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Under69c725.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over39c712.08$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3995940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.672045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over64c690.56$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.791,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over42c685.1$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.3635428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under57c630$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.4810248%49 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f90…7f51backed Over43c614$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over43c586.32$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.22060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under33c572.43$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under57c566$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.067844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over66c560.61$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.614170.7%29 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under45c559.57$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under17c555.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.39450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+127.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f0…18c3backed Over33c550.8$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under60c550$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under56c517.86$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.569735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under58c512$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.965750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under57c510.26$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under29c503.37$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-62.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under56c451.18$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under24c437.53$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.012528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Over69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.788229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Over42c424.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.81560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under30c400.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.382941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22814355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over40c399.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2f…4aacbacked Over43c397.67$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over27c397.53$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.356038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Over69c397.21$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over41c393.32$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0148950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53b0…50b8backed Under57c384.92$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under26c364.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8680%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over44c353.03$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under68c349.07$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.377342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Over80c338.72$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Over44c334.75$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over72c332.2$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+142.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.