Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d86c3fbd0ad7232971288100fe17048ce0d236c93e3b0fca1829a03d750edd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 4,954$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.06 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 60c | 4,811$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.82 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over | 62c | 2,092$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Under | 42c | 2,056$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.48 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 2,029$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.26 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 56c | 1,827$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 1,563$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.66 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 40c | 991$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.4 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 40c | 967.87$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.15 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 39c | 790.24$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.19 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 624.79$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.67 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 34c | 609.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.83 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 58c | 487.43$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 286.36$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 39c | 276$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Over | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 44c | 165.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 41c | 144.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 103.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 34c | 85.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 40c | 69.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 63c | 67.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 61.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over | 39c | 47.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 42.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…43a5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 30.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 56c | 28.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 59c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b1…039fbacked Under | 54c | 21.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 60c | 20.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.