Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb736775089cc7636f2b429ece4794c69b46d3e6ffb600ddae3c11eba1af83f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Newcastle United FCof Liverpool FC, Newcastle United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Newcastle United FC | 70c | 7,409$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liverpool FC | 12c | 4,696$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liverpool FC | 7c | 3,101$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Liverpool FC | 7c | 2,696$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 2,438$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.8 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Liverpool FC | 29c | 2,386$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Liverpool FC | 8c | 2,034$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 1,823$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.06 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 1,732$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.97 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Liverpool FC | 29c | 1,685$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.65 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 1,534$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.32 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 1,164$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.14 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 941.77$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.77 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 835.99$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 724.14$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…bc7dbacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 493.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Newcastle United FC | 78c | 450$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Liverpool FC | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…a7ecbacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…944cbacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 318.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Newcastle United FC | 70c | 276.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Newcastle United FC | 70c | 267$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Newcastle United FC | 70c | 267$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…cd94backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 248.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 159.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Liverpool FC | 28c | 117.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…d01cbacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Newcastle United FC | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Liverpool FC | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4771backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 88.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…b752backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Newcastle United FC | 71c | 79.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…4b96backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 76.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 75.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Newcastle United FC | 72c | 66.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 59.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…aabebacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 47.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 43.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Liverpool FC | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Newcastle United FC | 71c | 24.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…bbc4backed Newcastle United FC | 72c | 19.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Newcastle United FC | 72c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.