TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0bf…d7fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.64
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Klim Sani4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$93.56
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$57.8
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,921Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$1,788.46
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.34
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$55.41
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$20.28
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$27.23
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$14.78
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$4.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$12.95
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$7.52
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+200%+$55.34
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+201.4%+$34.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$40.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.