Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b5bccfc0753aa63d630da8cccd9fe24f97cf78cc33a4ff1f719ac3b01ff6b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x793d…ac40backed Over | 62c | 15,798$9,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 15,254$6,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,706.11 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 8,782$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.1 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 51c | 4,099$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.81 | 103 | 78.6%81 W · 22 L | +22.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Under | 17c | 3,959$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 3,456$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.7 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Under | 9c | 2,112$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 2,035$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.83 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 51c | 1,986$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.08 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,831$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.56 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 22c | 1,587$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 44c | 1,360$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 45c | 1,248$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.78 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 78c | 793.03$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 43c | 718.65$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 621.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…00edbacked Over | 77c | 564.21$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 73c | 529.23$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.3 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 51c | 466.06$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 421$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.87 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 65c | 410.94$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 27c | 393.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 61c | 335.7$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 32c | 328.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 48c | 308.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…38d8backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 8c | 292.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 75c | 246.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 8c | 211.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 47c | 211.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 54c | 175.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Over | 39c | 153.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Over | 68c | 144.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 36c | 119.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 18c | 111.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 101.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5712…f144backed Over | 63c | 98.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…3d25backed Over | 66c | 73.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 64c | 62.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…172abacked Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 57.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 50c | 54.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 45c | 44.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…ddfcbacked Over | 42c | 41.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Over | 39c | 36.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 64c | 34.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Under | 35c | 28.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 49c | 28.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 65c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…d7febacked Under | 70c | 20.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54be…e6b6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Nottingham Forest FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Nottingham Forest FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.