Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b08e3b9a6ef7b05bce3290a3fad8c66e0738466f3bd0ef9e76eb464442eb9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 45c | 15,227$6,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,910.12 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.96 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 2,094$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.74 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…73f3backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9304backed Yes | 53c | 1,792$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,458$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.13 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 1,444$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 1,169$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.5 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 47c | 1,090$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.9 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 896.4$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978b…b60abacked Yes | 53c | 680.38$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 618.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.23 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 24c | 589.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…4a51backed Yes | 41c | 439.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 46c | 398.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 56c | 341.51$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 50c | 319.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 17c | 305.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 300.29$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 52c | 281.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 46c | 199.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 186.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…c69cbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 53c | 172.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…97c4backed Yes | 53c | 172.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 53c | 157.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…ddfcbacked Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 56c | 111$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 31c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4b32backed Yes | 38c | 91.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…0e48backed Yes | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…5a46backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed No | 47c | 73.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked No | 68c | 66.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 45c | 61.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…2eb4backed Yes | 53c | 59.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 59.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 55c | 59.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…d9fdbacked Yes | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 53c | 36.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…9c67backed Yes | 55c | 31.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 30.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 45c | 30.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 48c | 24.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…c6d3backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…4800backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Nottingham Forest FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Nottingham Forest FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.