TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e0f…9304

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4617.4%8 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.86
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,894.87
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,529.03
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.02
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,359.29
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.94
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,241.87
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,434.04
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.97
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,198.75
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$417
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,827.08
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.27
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.17
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$765.52
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$879.13
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+67.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$383
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,919Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+235.3%+$4,515.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,351.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,802Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$2,034.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,964.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.