TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franceof France, Morocco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,720,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,978,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,720,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,635 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Morocco22c1,599,998$354,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354,877.899142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed France78c1,190,000$922,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267,643.735451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Morocco6c800,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.9813811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Morocco22c680,000$150,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,999.947433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed France78c499,998$389,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,999.585967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Morocco21c386,009$80,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,413.012,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Morocco23c340,998$76,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,729.4622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed France78c282,000$219,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,74513725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked France78c248,126$192,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,828.3811645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd22…ad91backed Morocco23c200,000$45,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,5001020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Morocco21c199,999$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,999.893718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Morocco22c187,590$40,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,889.125334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…59bfbacked France78c179,999$139,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,499.711154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf67…fe3dbacked France77c177,383$137,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,354.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Morocco22c175,000$38,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,5004753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Morocco21c170,248$35,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,752.1215456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Morocco21c164,667$35,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,364.2977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Morocco23c150,000$33,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,7507839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd532…25efbacked France78c143,213$111,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,121.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed France79c135,787$107,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,515.233941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France78c132,954$103,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,862.641,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Morocco20c131,645$26,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,601.1337223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Morocco22c124,120$26,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,963.5529952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed France78c114,389$89,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,717.1717452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…ca2fbacked Morocco22c112,818$24,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,82020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked France78c112,257$87,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,696.4813959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd453…80acbacked France77c99,999$77,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,999.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed France78c98,000$76,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,3158440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b9…2084backed France79c88,608$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,607.592218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Morocco23c88,591$19,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,942.8756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Morocco22c82,985$18,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,172.11,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed France78c80,442$62,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,957.8810959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6a7…504ebacked France78c80,000$62,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,6001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed France78c77,500$60,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,437.54153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Morocco0c75,000$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.515843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Morocco22c72,773$16,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,013.2316244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…5dc4backed France79c71,666$56,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,270.623522.9%8 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Morocco22c70,000$15,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,574.973046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1681…b1c7backed France77c70,000$54,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,849.937740.3%31 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd008…135dbacked Morocco23c69,000$15,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,525156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-82%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f9…4723backed France79c67,063$52,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,083.321060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Morocco23c66,666$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.825240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5734…a1b1backed France78c63,656$49,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,163.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked France78c63,423$49,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,111.6920448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Morocco23c60,226$13,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,581.492661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Morocco7c58,380$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,910.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked Morocco21c57,776$12,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,166.376126.2%16 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Morocco22c52,861$11,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,761.5512536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4f…04bbbacked Morocco3c52,531$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340319.7%3 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked France77c50,000$38,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,312.517842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Morocco23c50,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,249.9320724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Morocco21c49,553$10,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,266.355322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Morocco22c49,200$10,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,700.9817852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b6…09cebacked Morocco23c46,052$10,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,505.3190%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed France78c43,573$33,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,644.882665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed France79c41,457$32,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,806.562630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Morocco22c41,244$8,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,889.889642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Morocco21c40,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.974341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe94…8a3dbacked Morocco23c40,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.92147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe55b…643cbacked Morocco22c39,506$8,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,868.6970%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0cc…aafcbacked France78c39,282$30,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,491.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1514…c469backed Morocco2c39,227$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+254.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Morocco20c38,627$7,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,797.721,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed France78c38,462$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,461.5410457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebfd…fd63backed Morocco22c37,981$8,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,296.741070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Morocco21c37,199$7,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,811.873545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb5…af22backed France78c36,598$28,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,189.961752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked France78c33,991$26,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,497.9624028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed France78c32,900$25,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,164.210251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed France77c32,541$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,541.413036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Morocco10c32,500$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.2510736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c1…4837backed Morocco23c32,151$7,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,246.849646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Morocco23c32,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1b…2068backed France78c31,163$24,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,841.851866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked France78c30,926$23,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,958.387347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Morocco23c30,435$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Morocco9c30,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7007924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x407d…1baebacked France79c30,000$23,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1da7…f039backed France78c30,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6001030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Morocco23c30,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Morocco21c29,833$6,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,377.4353448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…78edbacked France78c29,555$22,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,575.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…7bd5backed Morocco22c28,586$6,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,418.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed France79c27,000$21,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,669.993857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Morocco22c26,232$5,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.057429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fd…4126backed France78c25,473$19,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,604.023100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Morocco23c25,000$5,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6255119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ec9…8001backed Morocco23c24,920$5,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,687.081811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-70.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed France79c24,814$19,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,179.697349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b52…a8a8backed Morocco22c24,580$5,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,408.741526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-60.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked France78c24,170$18,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,317.393748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed Morocco21c23,438$4,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,921.947835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb7…91b4backed Morocco6c23,000$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed France78c22,977$17,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,107.557237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa635…5520backed France78c22,214$17,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.054266.7%28 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c11…cfafbacked France78c22,040$17,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,871.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick67cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked France78c21,869$17,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,865.814566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b9…bbcabacked Morocco22c21,518$4,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.01110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Morocco23c20,295$4,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6106913%9 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-58.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Morocco22c20,063$4,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,414.1824344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.