France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13f6d49fa7aa2599be127fdcbe7904e463a541e06d163c557291fd32dd342972

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $579,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $646,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,936 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb107…3046backed Over	6c	218,814$12,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,901.58	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	5c	21,361$1,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,142.19	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	2c	17,512$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.93	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Over	5c	12,541$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.21	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over	6c	10,951$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.66	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Over	6c	9,562$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.03	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	5c	8,844$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	5c	8,211$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.54	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	3c	7,169$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.18	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	5c	6,025$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.27	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	5c	5,838$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.78	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	5c	5,633$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.65	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	5c	3,044$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.94	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	1c	3,005$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.04	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	5c	2,738$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.48	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	5c	2,679$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.08	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	5c	2,482$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.05	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over	5c	2,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+220.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5daa…b7a9backed Over	5c	1,943$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.98	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1c…7c56backed Over	5c	1,885$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Over	6c	1,790$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…dcbebacked Over	6c	1,747$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over	6c	1,699$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.77	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over	5c	1,640$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.28	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over	5c	1,345$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.91	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Over	5c	1,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over	5c	999.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	5c	909.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.14	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over	6c	909.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over	6c	877.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over	5c	836.58$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.1	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	5c	809.22$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.27	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	5c	750.86$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.81	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over	6c	745.76$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	4c	729.85$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	2c	631.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over	6c	616.52$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	57	22.8%13 W · 44 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Over	6c	603.45$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	3c	600$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Over	5c	600$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over	6c	600$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	5c	545.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Over	6c	534.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.93	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over	5c	495.29$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	5c	471.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over	5c	462.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1286…da74backed Over	5c	455.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	204	27.5%56 W · 148 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c5…c985backed Over	3c	443.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	3c	437.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over	3c	432.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe801…a0e8backed Over	5c	384.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	30cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Over	5c	377.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	18.5%15 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x974a…8efdbacked Over	5c	371.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Over	5c	352.02$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	268	35.4%95 W · 173 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over	5c	349.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2ae…c069backed Over	6c	345.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over	7c	300.77$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Over	5c	260$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa733…3456backed Over	5c	222.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over	5c	213.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	652	53.8%351 W · 301 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Over	5c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c35…fb29backed Over	5c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5this page
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance won
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-3.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-4.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-5.5)Morocco won
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-5.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event