TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$622,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$594,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over5c88,632$4,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,687.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over2c30,756$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.51626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over13c29,621$3,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.137416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over6c16,318$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.81,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Over12c14,800$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.3738817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over13c11,818$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over13c9,721$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.731,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over13c7,782$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.699150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over12c6,317$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75812810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over7c6,240$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.4717747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over14c5,091$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over12c3,999$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Over13c3,117$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over12c2,968$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x946a…2360backed Over8c2,404$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-61.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over14c2,071$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.65911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf4d…8cfebacked Over3c2,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653318.2%6 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c3…b47abacked Over11c2,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105328.3%15 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Over13c1,923$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c1,871$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.073,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over7c1,719$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4977433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over13c1,611$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3224144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over13c1,600$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Over13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over7c1,444$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.662,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Over13c1,432$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.631838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…284fbacked Over13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Over11c1,140$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.95223.1%12 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over13c1,077$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Over13c1,071$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1911020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe855…1139backed Over3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick14cpaid+104.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over13c1,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12516139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Over3c999.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.637740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x896a…f878backed Over14c927.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.82138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over13c910$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.32,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over4c808.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.351,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081f…a34ebacked Over13c800$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over13c800$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1e…a70ebacked Over13c800$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa011…c40bbacked Over13c789.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.654020%8 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0002…25ffbacked Over13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007222.2%16 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330a…0e45backed Over13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010838%41 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8d…2218backed Over9c753.85$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.55320.8%11 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over13c745.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9612117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Over13c738.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9726835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over14c731.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012332.5%40 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over7c728.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0310729%31 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad1c…7c56backed Over13c726.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.471010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over12c719.65$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.361,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over8c662.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.971,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over13c615.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over13c615.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9929813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c6…3c8abacked Over13c595.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.856043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over13c566.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755521.8%12 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over12c559.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.534932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over9c556.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over8c555$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over6c553.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2227227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c522.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.262,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Over14c509.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011531.3%36 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Over12c499.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2514856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over5c473.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a64…0ee6backed Over14c472.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over5c460.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.055320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over6c451.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1337348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over11c445.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over3c441.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7618628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4264…4811backed Over6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252825%7 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over14c400$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5546319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over12c399.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.511,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Over13c396$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4831842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe801…a0e8backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-83.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011437.7%43 W · 71 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Over13c377.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507514.7%11 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over4c349.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over13c346.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over13c343.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1426243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over12c310$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.546743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Over10c309.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.243813.2%5 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Over13c305.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.720816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.523429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9419…c114backed Over13c296.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010120.8%21 W · 80 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1286…da74backed Over13c294.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820427.5%56 W · 148 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325a…9c23backed Over14c290.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d8…9242backed Over9c270.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+53.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc25e…aacabacked Over13c269.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over6c268.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.062,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over13c264.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Over12c260$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Over13c250$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2523845.4%108 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Over12c245$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0114553.8%78 W · 67 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5284…6f2bbacked Over13c235.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303627.8%10 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf556…3ac7backed Over13c233.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.382231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2735…8bcbbacked Over13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302015%3 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.