TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c8,147$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85c…a55ebacked Yes15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes14c3,825$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.4813639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0105…ad53backed Yes15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes13c2,505$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6514244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes6c2,262$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.611279.4%12 W · 115 L+0.4wins0.00per pick9cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…2365backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes19c1,974$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0711219.6%22 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes14c1,500$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3212235.2%43 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3e…a888backed Yes7c1,362$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf4…a5c8backed Yes15c1,348$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bea…101fbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes14c933.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13427951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Yes15c877.75$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6612241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes12c854.66$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5620724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes16c850.82$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.031,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5850…fdd9backed Yes14c839.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.591936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1c8…0743backed Yes14c784.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes11c722.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.32,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x701b…f052backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005032%16 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b0…d5d8backed Yes14c700.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ecf…9648backed Yes15c671.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002010%2 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52fb…288ebacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8d…8ed9backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+69.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0958…9d13backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc555…e19cbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f1…8c6ebacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes15c651.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.077735.1%27 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…d8ebbacked Yes14c651.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b7…57a1backed Yes15c637.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.581225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd6…092abacked Yes16c636.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea4…fac9backed Yes20c621.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec7…6aadbacked Yes2c541.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102010%2 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659319.4%18 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…584fbacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658448.8%41 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes13c484.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9329813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes13c374.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba84…b857backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503429.4%10 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b02…083abacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010329.1%30 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a7…ab94backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…55f8backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf1…2960backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016531.5%52 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd2…9927backed Yes15c322.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes13c307.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.922213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-79.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf3…ebe4backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes16c278.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.522846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8227…2432backed Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes13c266.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.663,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3713…96c6backed Yes19c253.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.223228.1%9 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+85.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd069…f387backed Yes16c243.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5629…de17backed Yes19c240$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-57.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a8…24e1backed Yes15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes11c223.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.545232.7%17 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes16c219$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.047347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes12c217.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.031,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebae…2c41backed Yes14c214.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012020.8%25 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes15c210$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.546743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes15c206.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314814.6%7 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51c7…17e4backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306227.4%17 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+93.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000b…6ffbbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0d…8556backed Yes15c194.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…1c11backed Yes17c192.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336637.9%25 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c62…f73cbacked Yes15c192$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes6c182$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2525328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9336…362ebacked Yes15c169.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick31cpaid-88.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257745.5%35 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2f…2aaebacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252425%6 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc2d…0962backed Yes21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes22c166.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610038%38 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…0ba9backed Yes15c161.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.28944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+79%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes14c145.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8821937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d13…fd88backed Yes19c145.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.660%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes12c144.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…fd37backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes9c139.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1666932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…bb2fbacked Yes19c138.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.253417.6%6 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes15c133.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee5e…e5a7backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203813.2%5 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-67.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb767…9b28backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1336…682bbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034646%159 W · 187 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…3f68backed Yes19c131.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.784129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa998…e291backed Yes13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf556…3ac7backed Yes13c117.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.222231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513618.4%25 W · 111 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47f…4c0cbacked Yes19c112.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes19c110.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4167…7b99backed Yes16c108.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6611…cedabacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154645.7%21 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.