TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c62…f73c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Villa Constitucion: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Juan Estevezbacked Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$6.05
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$17.33
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$8.13
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$8.6
ITF Tokyo: Makoto Ochi vs Kasidit Samrejbacked Makoto Ochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.2
ITF Luan: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Junhan Zhangbacked Eva Marie Desvignes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
ITF Bucharest: Radu David Turcanu vs Filippo Mazzolabacked Filippo Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$14.15
ITF Buzau: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Sara Victoria Balanbacked Carmen Andreea Herea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
ITF Amstelveen: Pieter De Lange vs Jakub Nicodbacked Pieter De Lange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$33.14
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Sanhui Shinbacked Matthew Dellavedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$8.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Abacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$12.04
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+254.1%+$67.8
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.86
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$15.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Sussex Sharks vs Northamptonshire Steelbacksbacked Sussex Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.