Tennis · resolved market
ITF Buzau: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Sara Victoria Balan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91db6713837a5a27c951ea71ee8660ba33027801d1e830414ead2348b88d9b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Victoria Balanof Carmen Andreea Herea, Sara Victoria Balan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 79c | 2,726$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.27 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sara Victoria Balan | 19c | 2,191$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.85 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 19c | 2,046$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.78 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 72c | 1,675$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.91 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…fc16backed Sara Victoria Balan | 14c | 1,099$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +441.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 23c | 1,063$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd79…bec6backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 61c | 980.1$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 22c | 964.4$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.12 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 80c | 843.61$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.44 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sara Victoria Balan | 19c | 701.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.34 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 20c | 600.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.92 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Sara Victoria Balan | 10c | 495$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 61c | 483.52$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 309 | 25.9%80 W · 229 L | -29.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Sara Victoria Balan | 23c | 407.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sara Victoria Balan | 11c | 402.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sara Victoria Balan | 27c | 362.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.03 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 43c | 343.78$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…f23cbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 39c | 323.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…11f0backed Sara Victoria Balan | 22c | 299.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +355.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sara Victoria Balan | 11c | 241.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Sara Victoria Balan | 25c | 231$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 67c | 230.32$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 30c | 212.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.82 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sara Victoria Balan | 15c | 212$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Sara Victoria Balan | 25c | 204.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 69c | 196.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 59c | 184.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Sara Victoria Balan | 32c | 173.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Sara Victoria Balan | 35c | 165.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sara Victoria Balan | 30c | 153.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 30c | 145.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…f42abacked Sara Victoria Balan | 34c | 134.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 21c | 133$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 55c | 132.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 24c | 130.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 21c | 128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 11c | 126.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 71c | 125.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Sara Victoria Balan | 33c | 112.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 59c | 111.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 20c | 103.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 44c | 101.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sara Victoria Balan | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Sara Victoria Balan | 16c | 93.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sara Victoria Balan | 34c | 84.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sara Victoria Balan | 51c | 70.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Sara Victoria Balan | 20c | 61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 46c | 60.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Sara Victoria Balan | 19c | 51.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Sara Victoria Balan | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 73c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 66c | 44.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sara Victoria Balan | 45c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Sara Victoria Balan | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sara Victoria Balan | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 77c | 37.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 70c | 33.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sara Victoria Balan | 49c | 33.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 76c | 30.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…f73cbacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 58c | 24.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Sara Victoria Balan | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Carmen Andreea Herea | 74c | 18.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Carmen Andreea Herea | 71c | 17.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.