Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ca48087a186212416372a47f377f31312308797ac39ad872932dc37175fd90

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: BALUof BALU, Habibis
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,340 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2146…d41bbacked BALU	45c	12,251$5,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,719.36	897	41.5%372 W · 525 L	+22.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Habibis	58c	2,278$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.32	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked BALU	47c	2,274$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210.31	325	48.9%159 W · 166 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Habibis	58c	2,010$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.3	150	50%75 W · 75 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Habibis	2c	1,925$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Habibis	35c	1,907$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.02	503	53.9%271 W · 232 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Habibis	34c	1,825$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.29	265	50.6%134 W · 131 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Habibis	35c	1,801$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.82	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed BALU	40c	1,715$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.53	312	48.4%151 W · 161 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Habibis	49c	1,708$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.08	628	41.1%258 W · 370 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Habibis	44c	1,599$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.05	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Habibis	59c	1,553$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.7	148	25%37 W · 111 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Habibis	46c	1,481$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.12	308	44.8%138 W · 170 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Habibis	48c	1,432$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.9	457	50.8%232 W · 225 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Habibis	44c	1,379$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.61	222	40.1%89 W · 133 L	-14.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed BALU	55c	1,309$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.57	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Habibis	58c	1,262$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.96	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed BALU	43c	1,025$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.93	574	49%281 W · 293 L	+33.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Habibis	60c	1,023$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.43	165	41.2%68 W · 97 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed BALU	44c	1,008$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.82	160	58.8%94 W · 66 L	+9.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed BALU	46c	1,001$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.47	480	57.1%274 W · 206 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Habibis	36c	1,001$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.25	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Habibis	51c	996.8$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.09	507	69.2%351 W · 156 L	+33.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Habibis	58c	892.08$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.2	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked Habibis	46c	855.99$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.76	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Habibis	37c	824.84$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.66	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Habibis	54c	808.09$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed BALU	80c	807.19$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.44	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Habibis	51c	759.75$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	150	50.7%76 W · 74 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Habibis	53c	639$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.58	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BALU	55c	599.98$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.42	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Habibis	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.05	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Habibis	58c	500$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Habibis	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	327	56.9%186 W · 141 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Habibis	17c	436$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.64	261	47.9%125 W · 136 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked BALU	54c	430$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.8	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked BALU	80c	419.53$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.91	179	65.4%117 W · 62 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BALU	47c	400.28$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.15	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Habibis	21c	387.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.37	892	38.1%340 W · 552 L	-42.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Habibis	45c	360$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	140	48.6%68 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Habibis	55c	352.73$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	610	57.9%353 W · 257 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked BALU	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	480	53.1%255 W · 225 L	+25.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked BALU	54c	339.3$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.08	798	59%471 W · 327 L	+16.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed BALU	45c	300$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	515	44.9%231 W · 284 L	+40.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Habibis	62c	291.77$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.9	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BALU	52c	290.4$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.43	1,154	47.7%550 W · 604 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Habibis	45c	289.91$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.46	131	45%59 W · 72 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Habibis	40c	270.99$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.5	80	45%36 W · 44 L	+9.8wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Habibis	31c	250$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.5	310	52.6%163 W · 147 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Habibis	41c	238.83$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	154	37%57 W · 97 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Habibis	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.25	745	49.3%367 W · 378 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Habibis	45c	199$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.55	404	42.3%171 W · 233 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Habibis	44c	193.59$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.69	656	47.3%310 W · 346 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1c…90d2backed BALU	75c	190$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.3	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	62cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a4e…852fbacked BALU	58c	189.88$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.56	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+5.9wins	+0.14per pick	24cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32a9…fc3fbacked BALU	51c	186.64$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.33	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked BALU	45c	180$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BALU	57c	176.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.84	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Habibis	45c	159.59$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.08	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Habibis	62c	159.4$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.83	574	55.4%318 W · 256 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Habibis	34c	150.53$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.86	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed BALU	55c	150$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	332	65.4%217 W · 115 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Habibis	26c	120$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	535	38.5%206 W · 329 L	-26.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Habibis	20c	120$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	85	38.8%33 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe05…dbe6backed Habibis	40c	120$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Habibis	55c	118.47$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.59	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Habibis	47c	113.39$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.08	691	32.6%225 W · 466 L	-26.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Habibis	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	375	49.3%185 W · 190 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Habibis	48c	109.39$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.96	915	53.3%488 W · 427 L	+48.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c5f…31d1backed Habibis	34c	106.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.11	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Habibis	35c	102.63$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.92	668	48.5%324 W · 344 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed BALU	48c	89.9$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.94	387	59.4%230 W · 157 L	+26.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Habibis	17c	87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	645	47.8%308 W · 337 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed BALU	48c	85.55$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.29	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BALU	39c	85$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.85	126	46%58 W · 68 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed BALU	79c	82.85$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.41	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Habibis	20c	69.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BALU	48c	69.31$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.32	569	45.2%257 W · 312 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed BALU	43c	67.44$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.44	213	44.1%94 W · 119 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Habibis	56c	65.01$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.61	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Habibis	35c	64.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	136	47.1%64 W · 72 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked BALU	35c	62$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.3	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked BALU	44c	61.39$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.3	587	46.5%273 W · 314 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Habibis	31c	61.09$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.68	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Habibis	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c62…f73cbacked Habibis	39c	59.05$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Habibis	51c	58.87$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	96	58.3%56 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked BALU	53c	56.47$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.47	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Habibis	33c	54.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	440	49.3%217 W · 223 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed BALU	39c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d5…4bd3backed BALU	77c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	25	96%24 W · 1 L	+5.6wins	+0.23per pick	73cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked BALU	69c	48.64$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.17	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed BALU	52c	44$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.23	192	49%94 W · 98 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Habibis	50c	43$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	139	41.7%58 W · 81 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed BALU	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed BALU	49c	40.31$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.71	187	39%73 W · 114 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked BALU	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.88	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Habibis	38c	35.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	328	6.4%21 W · 307 L	-102.4wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed BALU	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	185	62.7%116 W · 69 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Habibis	44c	30.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group BBALU won
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 2 WinnerBALU won
Game Handicap: BALU (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5)BALU won
Game Handicap: Habibis (-1.5) vs BALU (+1.5)BALU won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event