Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c0d2ea23d3413f33aea32183951db59f24a33da4279b3320d67dbdd79900b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BALUof BALU, Habibis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked BALU | 61c | 3,119$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.1 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Habibis | 53c | 2,683$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.89 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Habibis | 49c | 2,612$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Habibis | 55c | 2,422$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.14 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…4b1cbacked Habibis | 5c | 2,350$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed BALU | 46c | 2,237$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.41 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Habibis | 3c | 2,112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Habibis | 47c | 2,081$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.95 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed BALU | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BALU | 47c | 1,989$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.78 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BALU | 47c | 1,971$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.73 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BALU | 42c | 1,831$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.57 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Habibis | 52c | 1,730$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.62 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed BALU | 38c | 1,582$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.9 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Habibis | 62c | 1,530$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.15 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked BALU | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Habibis | 51c | 1,326$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.81 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed BALU | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.83 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed BALU | 49c | 1,062$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.22 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Habibis | 64c | 1,005$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.71 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Habibis | 62c | 1,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Habibis | 60c | 999$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Habibis | 64c | 981.42$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.26 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed BALU | 55c | 940$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.46 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Habibis | 53c | 914.31$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.8 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Habibis | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Habibis | 47c | 637.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed BALU | 48c | 596.31$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed BALU | 53c | 577.36$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.96 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked BALU | 76c | 559.85$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed BALU | 42c | 537.16$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Habibis | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BALU | 53c | 505.03$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.36 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Habibis | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Habibis | 52c | 499.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.83 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BALU | 40c | 499.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.12 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Habibis | 44c | 479.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.88 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Habibis | 60c | 439.71$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked BALU | 51c | 435.09$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.43 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked BALU | 51c | 425.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Habibis | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed BALU | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Habibis | 61c | 393.91$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Habibis | 55c | 380$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Habibis | 56c | 361.06$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.85 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Habibis | 60c | 334$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BALU | 40c | 310.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Habibis | 51c | 302$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed BALU | 49c | 300.88$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked BALU | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed BALU | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Habibis | 24c | 298$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BALU | 47c | 255.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Habibis | 54c | 249.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Habibis | 61c | 241.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Habibis | 25c | 241.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Habibis | 48c | 225$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked BALU | 53c | 221.69$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed BALU | 42c | 211.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BALU | 51c | 200.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Habibis | 55c | 195.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BALU | 39c | 189.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked BALU | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Habibis | 51c | 179.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed BALU | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Habibis | 63c | 174.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Habibis | 61c | 165.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked BALU | 64c | 164.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed BALU | 31c | 161.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Habibis | 53c | 147.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BALU | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Habibis | 31c | 133$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Habibis | 17c | 133$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked BALU | 45c | 132.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Habibis | 53c | 131$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BALU | 48c | 128.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Habibis | 59c | 127.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Habibis | 24c | 126.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Habibis | 50c | 117.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed BALU | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Habibis | 50c | 109.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Habibis | 44c | 101.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Habibis | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BALU | 39c | 98.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked BALU | 41c | 97.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed BALU | 48c | 95.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BALU | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Habibis | 30c | 94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…290cbacked BALU | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Habibis | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed BALU | 65c | 91.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Habibis | 51c | 89.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked BALU | 53c | 85.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Habibis | 59c | 84.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BALU | 42c | 80.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Habibis | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Habibis | 16c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Habibis | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed BALU | 50c | 74.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Habibis | 63c | 71.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group BBALU won
- Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 1 WinnerBALU won
- Game Handicap: BALU (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5)BALU won
- Game Handicap: Habibis (-1.5) vs BALU (+1.5)BALU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.