Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f399f6a6b20fadde8b9a773961ecb53d3ea8a2391cef57d6192fc89325652c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BALUof BALU, Habibis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x524a…4b1cbacked Habibis | 0c | 12,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed BALU | 44c | 4,950$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.1 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Habibis | 45c | 3,093$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BALU | 68c | 1,912$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.43 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…64fbbacked Habibis | 55c | 1,790$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Habibis | 29c | 1,438$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.2 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BALU | 65c | 1,353$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.3 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed BALU | 66c | 1,107$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BALU | 65c | 1,087$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.55 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Habibis | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Habibis | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Habibis | 54c | 930.88$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.29 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed BALU | 44c | 863.91$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.79 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Habibis | 60c | 835$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BALU | 55c | 823.01$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.48 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Habibis | 48c | 806.6$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.36 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Habibis | 46c | 800.01$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.83 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Habibis | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked BALU | 52c | 720.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Habibis | 51c | 700.01$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.36 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Habibis | 35c | 679.17$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…aa9fbacked Habibis | 35c | 675.84$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Habibis | 56c | 599.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.99 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed BALU | 45c | 554.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.24 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Habibis | 48c | 536.24$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.38 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked BALU | 58c | 532.21$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.21 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Habibis | 34c | 527.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Habibis | 17c | 526.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Habibis | 51c | 505.36$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.72 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Habibis | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Habibis | 48c | 499.96$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.41 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Habibis | 18c | 488.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Habibis | 36c | 487.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed BALU | 61c | 485$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.15 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…b677backed Habibis | 28c | 466.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Habibis | 32c | 432.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BALU | 67c | 429.84$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BALU | 65c | 415.13$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed BALU | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Habibis | 16c | 398.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Habibis | 61c | 396.01$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Habibis | 31c | 386.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…53a4backed Habibis | 63c | 313.09$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed BALU | 54c | 306.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Habibis | 28c | 303.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked BALU | 47c | 299.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Habibis | 37c | 271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Habibis | 47c | 246.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Habibis | 61c | 243.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BALU | 60c | 234.41$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BALU | 60c | 233.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Habibis | 55c | 232.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked BALU | 45c | 230$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed BALU | 47c | 227.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Habibis | 56c | 223.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Habibis | 39c | 202.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Habibis | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BALU | 53c | 199.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Habibis | 38c | 184.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Habibis | 11c | 184$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Habibis | 39c | 182.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed BALU | 71c | 159.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Habibis | 29c | 151.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Habibis | 28c | 150.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked BALU | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed BALU | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked BALU | 41c | 149.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked BALU | 47c | 142.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…fc3fbacked Habibis | 26c | 137.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed BALU | 64c | 136.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Habibis | 21c | 130.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Habibis | 62c | 122.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BALU | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Habibis | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Habibis | 44c | 114.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Habibis | 47c | 105.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed BALU | 54c | 100.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Habibis | 46c | 100.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked BALU | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Habibis | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Habibis | 49c | 98.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked BALU | 62c | 98.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked Habibis | 60c | 94.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BALU | 59c | 87.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…8f6abacked Habibis | 25c | 85.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Habibis | 36c | 84.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed BALU | 36c | 80.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked BALU | 60c | 76.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Habibis | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BALU | 49c | 71.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BALU | 66c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Habibis | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Habibis | 59c | 66.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked BALU | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed BALU | 46c | 64.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BALU | 40c | 63.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed BALU | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Habibis | 27c | 55.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Habibis | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Habibis | 48c | 52.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 1 WinnerBALU won
- Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 2 WinnerBALU won
- Game Handicap: BALU (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5)BALU won
- Game Handicap: Habibis (-1.5) vs BALU (+1.5)BALU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.