TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3066…693a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
659
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT54648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 546 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs FTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$7.31
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$7.31
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+101%+$40.41
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will 1w Team Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+101%+$40.41
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$29.69
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135.82
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+101%+$40.41
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$31.39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Showing 25 of 546 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7946.8%37 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$104.04
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$32.24
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$31.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.