TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b0e…e3eabacked No11c4,542$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.9442818.7%80 W · 348 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c3,841$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.031,5587.2%112 W · 1,446 L-35.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed No43c3,221$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.28143.2%35 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes64c2,765$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.958739.1%34 W · 53 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d05…6a81backed No0c2,361$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0943212.5%54 W · 378 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No37c2,100$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked No9c1,739$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.645036%18 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes53c1,651$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.9226423.9%63 W · 201 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked No2c1,419$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f9…3970backed No6c1,410$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d0…269ebacked No21c1,323$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9940939.6%162 W · 247 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed No3c1,265$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-60.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf839…33c5backed No45c1,236$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b7…f103backed No10c1,204$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.811181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.34per pick48cpaid+93.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked No29c1,200$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4913342.1%56 W · 77 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No11c1,091$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.352438.2%20 W · 223 L+0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid-47.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked No11c1,003$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-80.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked No8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No27c894.42$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.677635.5%27 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed No19c881.13$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.227643.5%120 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes57c859.99$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.342329.1%123 W · 300 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No9c766.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.147035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d19…be54backed Yes65c752.62$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.973063.3%19 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+78.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdfb2…6b49backed No7c748.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes78c743.93$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.236549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No6c696.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.771822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed No1c689.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08836%5 W · 78 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes72c682.2$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8910165.3%66 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No4c625.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.712384.6%11 W · 227 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes63c623.81$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3636750.4%185 W · 182 L+39.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes58c611.77$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.596549.2%32 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked No18c582.44$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6547334%161 W · 312 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed No33c549.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8715743.9%69 W · 88 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b62…7418backed No4c510.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed No6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012037.5%45 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48f3…104fbacked No28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe433…607cbacked Yes35c489.73$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.731154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7add…f9f4backed No15c436.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.523839.9%95 W · 143 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x083f…a55fbacked No20c433.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3be…1015backed No7c416.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60c1…e1c8backed No26c406.7$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed No15c406.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.496650%33 W · 33 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed No9c400$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.23534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a76…3022backed Yes60c399.97$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes71c356.46$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4122262.2%138 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked No4c350$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No5c348.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.62260%0 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes72c333.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4716651.2%85 W · 81 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe267…86e4backed No13c328.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.092817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0486…2a2fbacked Yes23c317.16$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+114.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62de…e70bbacked No32c309.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8445843.7%200 W · 258 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…ac99backed No7c284.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.881526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid+23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbef7…0b4dbacked No12c283.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.027727.3%21 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4c…8d85backed No13c273.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.920239.1%79 W · 123 L+20.4wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+44.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22d7…84e0backed No9c265.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick18cpaid+232.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84fa…1327backed No8c248$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0814335%50 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983c…385dbacked No65c241.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.66240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb520…6e24backed No8c236.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8809…6e34backed No23c234.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes33c233.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9942738.9%166 W · 261 L+30.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes55c225.26$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8312525.6%32 W · 93 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No64c222$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0835355.5%196 W · 157 L+36.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2df7…b364backed No9c220.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec7…79a0backed No5c218.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaaf…e414backed No7c215.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d42…8fbbbacked No51c212.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1711856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked No9c210.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90be…c800backed Yes25c208.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7815331.4%48 W · 105 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…87bcbacked No10c204.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-66.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb32…db85backed No25c200.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034440.4%139 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982c…82f2backed No10c192.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae2…1532backed No14c191.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-78.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7265…e943backed No29c187.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.74837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2152…c3f9backed No6c175.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes43c174.75$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4514940.9%61 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes70c171.71$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.687850%39 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe353…a4e3backed No6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed No27c167$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.85911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bc…f561backed No25c159.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No8c144.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6458927.2%160 W · 429 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes61c141.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.661643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb675…3d65backed No71c140.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d43…32edbacked No8c134.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe540…9f64backed No12c125.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d7…a672backed No9c121.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No25c118.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…2f4dbacked No32c114.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No24c113.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4719428.9%56 W · 138 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe757…8047backed No12c113.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.043145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No37c112.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1931719.2%61 W · 256 L-23.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd804…6456backed No15c108.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed No24c100.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.387341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c7…9f6abacked Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e0c…25dfbacked No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…a1b0backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed No20c97.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda92…95febacked No40c91.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No17c89.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13519.8%5 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.