TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d88…b0c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Earnings, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$513
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+173%+$34.59
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$43.7
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.49
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+106%+$1,255.77
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$861.71
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.67
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$74.76
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+2,400%+$383.97
Will Timothée Chalamet be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Kylian Mbappé be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$140
Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+41%+$381.55
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$448.01
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$738.81
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-76.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67.6
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$395.01
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$423
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$455.2
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Will "Stranger Things: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 2, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will "The Beast in Me" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 2, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+106.3%+$47.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-67.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.8%+$442.07
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$662.48
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$129.05
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the U.S. House of Representatives session be announced by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,450
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$384
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$628
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$112
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$90
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$165
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-82.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+342.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+392.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+392.6%+$159.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA reach $224 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$858.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.