Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff21f6951a1a4fd0e9d12d1bc641e49943e81a0f54487d20e8967a84ee39ebd2

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,134,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $922,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,134,120 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 719 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e22…3993backed Yes	24c	64,834$15,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,297.52	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+81%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	22c	38,309$8,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,542.16	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	9c	36,519$3,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,128.53	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	28c	29,552$8,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,383.75	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	45c	29,439$13,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,119.39	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	36c	17,904$6,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,445.31	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	50c	13,739$6,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,805.9	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	31c	12,817$3,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,991.63	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	12c	11,387$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	19c	9,260$1,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,795.5	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	36c	9,144$3,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,274.31	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	28c	8,633$2,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.28	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	37c	8,366$3,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,066.99	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8a…acdcbacked Yes	35c	8,279$2,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,934.41	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-64%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Yes	49c	8,042$3,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,960.31	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+218.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	40c	7,674$3,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,056.95	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	20c	7,040$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.09	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	40c	6,248$2,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,515.46	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	30c	6,000$1,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,808.75	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	60c	5,937$3,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,396.62	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Yes	36c	5,592$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040.24	80	31.3%25 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	25c	5,583$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.75	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	50c	5,296$2,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,622.71	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0654…fabdbacked Yes	74c	5,218$3,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,846.83	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes	41c	5,190$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	76c	5,183$3,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,227.62	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	18c	4,893$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.73	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	54c	4,794$2,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,590.85	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	22c	4,735$1,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.18	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes	67c	4,587$3,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,083.53	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	44c	4,550$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,007.71	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	28c	4,190$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.38	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	17c	4,090$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.1	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fd…4373backed Yes	14c	3,800$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.51	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b5…0f8cbacked Yes	46c	3,743$1,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,725.38	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	3,638$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.91	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	19c	3,461$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	45c	3,437$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,556.64	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af4…a4efbacked Yes	15c	3,422$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	28c	3,320$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.5	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4d…bfa0backed Yes	45c	3,309$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,493.51	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df3…6180backed Yes	75c	3,299$2,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,466.03	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.9wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	34c	3,224$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.56	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6fa7backed Yes	68c	3,161$2,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,134.14	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd394…3cc7backed No	74c	3,110$2,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.65	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…4532backed Yes	62c	3,058$1,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,909.34	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes	14c	3,000$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	38c	2,974$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.66	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb009…b498backed Yes	34c	2,967$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$996.57	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes	17c	2,900$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b63…1147backed Yes	36c	2,811$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes	17c	2,807$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…4927backed Yes	36c	2,754$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.54	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	45c	2,719$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.37	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed No	60c	2,653$1,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,061.91	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…c181backed Yes	13c	2,641$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.29	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	13c	2,636$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.09	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	26c	2,617$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.08	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No	64c	2,473$1,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.08	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	71cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked No	62c	2,466$1,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.02	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b5…9631backed Yes	37c	2,442$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	70c	2,410$1,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.64	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	71c	2,370$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,689.53	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda0…8992backed Yes	39c	2,275$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.91	166	21.7%36 W · 130 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked No	72c	2,208$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.96	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	24c	2,140$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.93	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	23c	2,128$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.39	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	43c	2,110$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.38	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	27c	2,093$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.57	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…1227backed No	66c	2,092$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.33	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	24c	2,075$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.24	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed No	24c	2,066$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,565.72	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	78c	1,976$1,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.35	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	45c	1,935$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked No	55c	1,886$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.32	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b0…35adbacked Yes	80c	1,650$1,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,316.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf014…d442backed Yes	41c	1,605$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.59	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	15c	1,504$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	54c	1,480$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.84	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90a…b2fbbacked Yes	28c	1,454$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee1…bc75backed Yes	80c	1,429$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138.07	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8f…75e6backed Yes	18c	1,421$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdec…ffe8backed Yes	16c	1,406$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.82	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+103.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	12c	1,403$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.17	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60e3…bd3fbacked Yes	36c	1,392$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…a9debacked Yes	66c	1,372$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.4	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes	32c	1,370$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	3c	1,353$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.73	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98b…6430backed Yes	7c	1,344$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbb…9e7cbacked Yes	12c	1,339$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.67	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a24…cf2bbacked Yes	48c	1,331$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.68	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	22cpaid	+93.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d49…bf50backed Yes	23c	1,309$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	18c	1,284$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.15	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	35c	1,268$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.04	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	20c	1,256$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.45	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	31c	1,247$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.43	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b2…15b5backed Yes	49c	1,227$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0234…62dabacked Yes	23c	1,220$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.8	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes	35c	1,200$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62da…3e5abacked Yes	37c	1,200$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event