Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1358bc2b631c8259dcf6c7e996d8c3f00a7de8103dc8294f3f88cfa029d2eb75

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,286,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $624,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,286,227 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	0c	283,733$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.49	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	67,338$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.85	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	55,137$2,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,602.72	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	2c	44,313$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.83	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	5c	35,364$1,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,753.9	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	8c	34,410$2,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,675.09	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed Yes	1c	22,485$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.08	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	7c	20,707$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	8c	15,636$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.29	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	4c	10,647$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.82	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	6c	10,302$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.63	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	1c	10,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	7,558$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.77	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	6,967$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.16	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8403…e2ecbacked Yes	2c	6,750$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	6,612$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.71	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Yes	9c	6,444$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.64	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+445.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	8c	6,280$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.54	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes	1c	6,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	5,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90a…b2fbbacked Yes	7c	5,278$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	4,820$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	1c	4,662$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.73	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes	5c	4,403$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Yes	10c	4,363$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.96	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	4,157$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.66	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	15c	3,982$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.29	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80b5…9631backed Yes	10c	3,869$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.7	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	3,700$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	3,638$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.8	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	5c	3,400$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.4	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	8c	3,300$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.2	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	3c	3,109$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.93	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de1…6707backed Yes	15c	3,023$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	2,926$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	7c	2,910$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.79	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdec…ffe8backed Yes	10c	2,844$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+103.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9722…e0e4backed Yes	1c	2,600$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	4cpaid	+693.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19a4…4e3cbacked Yes	2c	2,598$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.22	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	5cpaid	+506.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	4c	2,528$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.7	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	7c	2,500$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.59	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed Yes	6c	2,353$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.74	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	2c	2,321$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc413…3204backed Yes	7c	2,187$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes	10c	2,164$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	6c	2,128$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.98	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	4c	2,059$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.68	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	3c	2,058$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.55	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…c181backed Yes	3c	2,006$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.62	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75ce…0a6fbacked Yes	6c	2,000$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes	3c	2,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.9	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes	17c	1,817$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…446abacked Yes	12c	1,737$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	12cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	12c	1,731$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.98	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…f929backed Yes	2c	1,500$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	6c	1,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	1c	1,437$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb2…317bbacked Yes	2c	1,400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa170…1737backed Yes	16c	1,359$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	7c	1,300$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3871…2a0cbacked Yes	5c	1,250$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb63…79debacked Yes	2c	1,250$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	13c	1,218$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.52	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88cb…2c20backed Yes	1c	1,200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	5c	1,146$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.02	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	2c	1,095$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.28	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	2c	1,088$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8936…79ebbacked Yes	8c	1,077$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	2c	1,057$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01fe…79f4backed Yes	2c	1,023$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b63…1923backed Yes	6c	1,012$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2364…d963backed Yes	20c	1,005$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…3c87backed Yes	5c	1,002$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.91	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes	12c	999.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	10c	999.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8de…ed08backed Yes	4c	971.9$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa553…3eaebacked Yes	23c	946.7$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.53	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes	11c	880.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d72…8e62backed Yes	6c	868.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78cd…d017backed Yes	4c	860$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.66	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-82.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de5…91c6backed Yes	4c	835.95$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c6…e143backed Yes	5c	834.55$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.31	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…3a28backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	13c	825.09$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.96	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4be…58f2backed Yes	5c	760$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.56	53	17%9 W · 44 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	8c	733.56$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9150…26f4backed Yes	3c	729.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	5c	728$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2e…3d70backed Yes	13c	658.65$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.59	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	9c	640$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.3	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc15…b7d5backed Yes	2c	633.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e5…d9d0backed Yes	4c	633$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17a5…e00abacked Yes	5c	622.88$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.03	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bff…f622backed Yes	14c	620.95$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.56	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	2c	616.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event